ScratchOffsNY
Glossary ·

NY Scratch-Off & Lottery Math Glossary

Plain-English definitions for the 15 terms ScratchOffsNY uses most often. Click any term for the long-form explanation, formula, and links to the relevant data pages.

Expected Value (EV)

Average dollar return per ticket if the game were played an unlimited number of times.

Smart Score

ScratchOffsNY composite 0–100 ranking blending seven core factors recalibrated daily.

Payout Rate

Total prize pool divided by total ticket sales — sometimes called RTP (return to player).

Top Prize

The single largest advertised prize on the ticket.

Remaining Odds

Live odds of winning any prize, recomputed from prizes claimed and tickets estimated unsold.

Prize Density

Remaining prizes per estimated unsold ticket; higher is better.

Mid-Tier Prize

Any prize between $100 and $10,000.

Fresh Pack

A scratch-off pack opened within the last ~24 hours.

Claim Lag

Average days between a winning ticket being sold and being claimed.

Bayesian Smoothing

Statistical technique that shrinks noisy estimates toward a prior to reduce small-sample variance.

Walk-Forward Validation

Backtesting that trains on past data and tests on future data with no leakage.

Self-Containment (stores)

Fraction of a store's pack inventory not shared with neighboring retailers.

Second-Chance Drawing

NY Lottery program where non-winning scratch-off tickets can be entered for bonus prizes.

Prospect Theory Utility

Behavioral-economics adjustment that weights large jackpots more than expected value alone implies.

Momentum

Rate of prize depletion in the last 14 days.

Data sourced from nylottery.ny.gov and NY Open Data. Independent, non-commercial project. Play responsibly — NY Problem Gambling · 1-877-8-HOPENY.